still remember probability from Uni, so I understand hit chance. What I was saying is that*, that no matter how superior your technical capabilities are, you Base Hit chance will always be 50% (since tracking\ECM can only reduce it ** ) which means that your base chance to hit would be 75%, 87.5%, 94% (ROF 1,2,3)
Those numbers aren't encouraging, especially if you have a volley of more than one missile coming your way, in which case the chance to take them all down plummet.
*I was, assuming that formula is correct
** I haven't checked if grade\moral is can range above 1, but if it does it would be weird that all my Empire expertise can't improve my autonomous system hit chance but my crew feelings can :/